Rabu, 23 Oktober 2013

Ebook Invest with the Fed: Maximizing Portfolio Performance by Following Federal Reserve Policy, by Luis Garcia-Feijoo

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Invest with the Fed: Maximizing Portfolio Performance by Following Federal Reserve Policy, by Luis Garcia-Feijoo

Invest with the Fed: Maximizing Portfolio Performance by Following Federal Reserve Policy, by Luis Garcia-Feijoo


Invest with the Fed: Maximizing Portfolio Performance by Following Federal Reserve Policy, by Luis Garcia-Feijoo


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Invest with the Fed: Maximizing Portfolio Performance by Following Federal Reserve Policy, by Luis Garcia-Feijoo

About the Author

ROBERT R. JOHNSON is the president and CEO of the American College of Financial Services and a director of RS Investment Management. GERALD R. JENSEN is the Board of Trustees Professor of Finance at Northern Illinois University and an associate editor for the Journal of Financial Research. LUIS GARCIA-FEIJOO is Associate Professor of Finance at Florida Atlantic University and an associate editor of Financial Analysts Journal.

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Product details

Hardcover: 336 pages

Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education; 1 edition (March 23, 2015)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0071834400

ISBN-13: 978-0071834407

Product Dimensions:

6.2 x 1.2 x 9.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 2.4 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.5 out of 5 stars

42 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#671,242 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

An excellent assessment of how Fed actions impact stock prices and how to take advantage of Fed interest rate trends. The book ends with a fairly easy approach to equity investing that delivers an amazing return premium of 8.8%/year.Their approach breaks the Fed interest rate changes into Expansive, Indeterminate and Restrictive situations depending on the direction of changes to the Federal Funds Rate and the Fed Discount Rate. Various investment strategies are presented for each of these situations (Value versus Growth, Real Estate, Commodities, Sector Rotation, International, and Fixed-Income among others) with some being highly successful and others not. Their work is summarized with a Rotation Strategy (each consisting of five asset classes) that provides above average results for each of the three Fed interest rate change situations.While the book is fairly helpful in how to use their learning, the one glaring omission is lack of a table showing Fed interest rate changes and the Expansive, Indeterminate, and Restrictive situations they map into. It would be helpful to the reader to see exactly how they determined these periods in order for the reader to correctly identify the Fed stance moving forward.There is much to recommend their approach given the Fed’s influence on the U.S. economy. However, to the extent the future differs from the past, the specific strategies suggested may not provide extra return. For example, part of the investment rotation approach involves investing in energy stocks. Energy prices (and oil company valuations) rose nicely for decades under OPECs dominance of oil prices. Will US fracking (and increased fracking worldwide) reverse this trend? Another part of the rotation involves investment in Emerging Markets. China’s rapid growth has contributed strongly to Emerging Markets results. Will the maturing of China’s economy lessen Emerging Markets future returns?

a good book, but perhaps not for the intended reasons...i really enjoyed this book. it is full of interesting data. i think someone wanting to learn more about investments and academic studies would learn a huge amount from this book.but i have a number of questions/concerns:1) would anyone remotely suggest the fed has been anything but expansionary the last 5 years? it's news to me that they raised the discount rate to 0.75% in 2010 and haven't lowered it since but i'm sure the author is correct......2) related to #1. could an indicator not be made from either 1 year or 2 year interest rates as summarizing fed policy? seems alot simpler although it will jump around like the effective fed funds rate too.3) similar to #1 and #2, but is effective fed funds rate going from 0.17% to 0.19% really evidence of any kind of restrictive policy? and of course it will lead to turnover although the other indicator (discount rate) is quite stable.4) the credit crisis of 2008 was extraordinary... wouldn't you have been killed in stocks following this model? of course you would have done well before and after.... note that i haven't completed my read.5) commodities may have done well historically when rates increase but as a commodity investor i am sure not hoping the fed raises rates so my commodity investments do better.... i'm think there's alot going on in oil prices that don't have anything to do with monetary policy and as i said i don't buy that restrictive monetary policy is good for oil prices..... alot of other insights relating to monetary policy to investments do make sense.this probably summarizes #1 through #5 comments but i wish the author(s) had spent more time on the monetary model and less time on the investment implications. i feel the model is too simple and not analyzed thoroughly enough. i can't reconcile thinking that fed policy has been anything but accomodative (QE and QE2) the last 5 years. interest rates have consistently surprised on the downside.great book though as survey of many different investments historically.

First, the writing style is easy to read and it flows well. Second, it is very obvious to me that Bob Johnson and his colleagues did an amazing amount of research to back up various statements and themes with facts and examples. Third, all of the suggestions and points are backed up with great logic that make a lot of sense to me. Fourth, the book should have multiple audiences. I think every portfolio manager would need it as a first read and then as a reference book on his or her shelf. They should refer to it periodically as they may be changing their own investment styles from time to time. Finally, maybe the policy makers at the FED should be made aware of the many findings as they may not be aware of the many linkages Johnson, et al have discovered. Aside from these points, as an academic myself, the book serves as a quick refresher on many classic Finance fronts. For example, it brings in the efficient market hypothesis and the various aspects of the methods for measuring risk at many key places. A minor point is, on the Kindle, the bar diagrams and summary tables seem a bit too small to really read.

The authors address a key influence in today's financial markets- the impact of the Fed and policy positions on investment portfolio performance. This book provides a well presented guide for investing in markets that are increasingly influenced by Fed activity and offer strategy recommendations based on Fed policy shifts. A must read for all serious investors.

This is one of the best books I have ever read on how to use Fed policy in making investment decisions. The authors’ grasp of the interworking of Fed policy and how and why various asset classes have reacted to Fed policy decisions was immeasurably helpful.We have entered an era where central bank policies have an unmitigated impact on asset prices and we need to advance our understanding of the role and impact of central banks on portfolios. I recommend that anyone in an investment decision making capacity read this book.

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Minggu, 13 Oktober 2013

Free Ebook Extinction: How Life on Earth Nearly Ended 250 Million Years Ago - Updated Edition (Princeton Science Library), by Douglas H. Erwin

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Extinction: How Life on Earth Nearly Ended 250 Million Years Ago - Updated Edition (Princeton Science Library), by Douglas H. Erwin

Extinction: How Life on Earth Nearly Ended 250 Million Years Ago - Updated Edition (Princeton Science Library), by Douglas H. Erwin


Extinction: How Life on Earth Nearly Ended 250 Million Years Ago - Updated Edition (Princeton Science Library), by Douglas H. Erwin


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Extinction: How Life on Earth Nearly Ended 250 Million Years Ago - Updated Edition (Princeton Science Library), by Douglas H. Erwin

Review

"One of Choice's Outstanding Academic Titles for 2006""Theories and mysteries can be dispelled with good data from the geologic record, and Erwin (a paleobiologist at the Smithsonian Institution's National Museum of Natural History) offers an authoritative account of the search for these data and for the cause of the extinction. . . . Extinction provides a great reference for researchers and the interested lay reader alike."---Andrew M. Bush, Science"Extinction is a very enjoyable read. . . . It provides a thoroughly up-to-date account of the causes of the end-Permian event and the developments in the field since 1993 as seen through the eyes of one of the key players. . . . Extinction leaves the reader with the (accurate) picture that here is a scientist whose work has significantly advanced our understanding of the greatest extinction event known to science. . . . [A] readable and scholarly account."---Richard J. Twitchett, American Scientist"Douglas Erwin's geological mystery story is engrossing. It contains a tribute to the scientific method--and also the collaborations of research. The book ends with Erwin warning that the Earth is arguably entering another mass extinction period, this time unnatural and man-made. And this time the destruction may well be total."---Lucy Sussex, The Age"Douglas H. Erwin, a Smithsonian paleobiologist and one of the leading experts on the Permian extinction has meticulously sifted through the evidence. . . . His accessible new book, Extinction--written, it seems, both to persuade his colleagues and to educate a lay audience--is told from the perspective of a forensic scientist trying to piece together a quarter-billion-year-old crime scene."---Joshua Foer, Washington Post Book World"Douglas Erwin describes how life on Earth was nearly destroyed at the end of the Permian period, 250 million years ago. . . . The author . . . explain[s] what this paleontological, as well as geological, evidence can tell scientists about the dramatic and deadly shift in the Earth's environment." (Science News)"No one can tell this story better than Douglas Erwin. His book is a superbly written account of what we know about the Permian extinctions. . . . More than a geological story, this book is an excellent model of how science addresses complicated questions." (Choice)"This book does not justify a single, accepted causal sequence of events . . . to account for the end-Permian extinction. Instead, Erwin dissects the evidence for and against each hypothesis, impartially weighing their strengths and weaknesses. Although this book may frustrate readers expecting to learn how life nearly ended 250 million years ago, it will reward them with a fascinating case study in scientific inference, a case that remains very much open."---John P. Hunter, Quarterly Review of Biology"Erwin's book is science writing for the general public at its best and most lucid. Entertaining, informative, and thought provoking." (Northeastern Naturalist)"Erwin offers a thorough overview of one of the most interesting problems in earth history. . . . Erwin takes the readers on an insider's journey that includes adventures in the field, tedious hours in the laboratory, and stimulating but sometimes contentious exchanges among colleagues at scientific meetings. He gives rigorous consideration to every reasonable hypothesis. . . . Erwin's short course is a professional service for geologists (like me) who have read only some of the primary literature on the end-Permian extinction."---Stephen O. Moshier, Books & Culture

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From the Back Cover

"Douglas Erwin blends careful scholarship and graceful prose in this authoritative elucidation of Earth's greatest mass extinction. Although framed in terms of hypotheses and their tests, Erwin's story unfolds as a gripping who-done-it for the ages."--Andrew H. Knoll, Harvard University, author of Life on a Young Planet"Douglas Erwin is the world's leading expert on the end-Permian extinction. This book will be the standard reference on this crucial event in the history of life. It is a wonderful example of science in action."--Richard Bambach, Virginia Tech"This book provides an up-to-date review and critical appraisal of all we know about the end-Permian mass extinction, a subject that has drawn much popular attention. Complementing its solid scholarship, its friendly style enables educated general readers to get to grips with all the current debates."--Paul Wignall, University of Leeds, author of Mass Extinctions and Their Aftermaths"In conversational prose, Douglas Erwin provides a useful roadmap to a complex scientific subject--an up-to-date treatment of the end-Permian extinction."--Michael J. Foote, University of Chicago

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Product details

Series: Princeton Science Library (Book 37)

Paperback: 320 pages

Publisher: Princeton University Press; Revised ed. edition (March 22, 2015)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0691165653

ISBN-13: 978-0691165653

Product Dimensions:

5 x 1 x 7 inches

Shipping Weight: 13.6 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.1 out of 5 stars

28 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#101,665 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

The title of the book is "Extinction: How Life on Earth Nearly Ended 250 Million Years Ago" and the author is Douglas H. Erwin. Our planet has a sometimes very violent history, which is recorded in its rock strata. How do we decipher it? Geology is one major discipline with the tools, whereas paleontology is another. Strata record a chronology of the Earth based on the premise that older strata lie beneath younger strata. Scientists have compared strata from around the world and matched up similar time periods (i.e.; identical strata). Multi-cell plants and animals have left their fossils in the last half billion years of the Earth's history. Three major divisions (eras) became evident to scientists: the Paleozoic Era, the Mesozoic Era, and the Cenozoic Era. The first era contains the story of primitive multi-cell animals, first fishes, first amphibians, and first reptiles. Then the mother of all global extinctions occurred and wiped out 95% of all species. The next era (Mesozoic) was the age of the dinosaurs and it lasted well over 120 million years. Again, a global extinction wiped out the dinosaurs and several other species. Since that mass extinction event 65 million years ago, new kinds of animals have repopulated the Earth, namely mammals and birds. This book focuses on that major extinction at the end of the Paleozoic and teaches what science can deduce about it.That end-Paleozoic transition is named the Permo-Triassic extinction. The name comes from the last period in the Paleozoic (the Permian) and the first period in the Mesozoic (the Triassic). We are talking about an event that happened one quarter of a billion years ago. The task is extremely challenging because the surface of the Earth is remodeled continuously by erosion, mountain building, subduction of ocean sea floor plates, and other geological processes. The author has done a thorough job of providing the reader with an understanding of the tools available to attack the problem. These tools include radioisotope dating techniques, paleontology considerations, the carbon cycle, which can be used to evaluate conditions in the distant past by measuring the relative amounts of C12 and C13. The author liberally gives credit to the many individual scientists each working on a aspect of the bigger problem. He also examines the different hypotheses that have attempted to explain what caused the mass extinction.Professionals, such as geologists and paleontologists, would be likely to buy this book because they will acquire a powerful reference tool. Moreover, they would make the purchase, knowing in advance, that they can understand the vernicular of the extinction scientist. For others less specialized, the jargon could be an obstacle to understanding the book's contents. Dr. Erwin does attempt to explain the technology to the novice readers and does a good job of it. However, sometimes he forgets that this audience exists and seems to be communicating with his peers alone. The book has photos, charts, graphs and other visual aids which help clarify the textual messages. The extinction was a global event, but there are only a few places on the Earth where evidence still exists. Consequently, the author takes us to China, South Africa, the Rocky Mountains, and other places where he can support his narrative with evidence and examples.The author presents arguments for the several different hypotheses explaining the great extinction, but does not lock on to any particular one as the best hypothesis. He gives an unbiased voice to each of them, with cautionary comments to the readers about obvious flaws in the reasoning or new evidence which negates previous scientific beliefs. Thus, the book is an unbiased account of what science has been able to learn about the Permo-Triassic extinction. I felt that I learned a lot about mass extinctions in general and this extinction in particular. I know that I should reread it at some future time to better lock in my understanding of the book's contents. Hopefully, you can decide from my review whether or not you would want to learn what this book has to teach you.Ralph D. Hermansen, November 4, 2013

This book reads like a murder mystery, with the victim being 95% of all marine life and 70% of terrestrial vertebrates species. This crime, the Permian Extinction, occurred over 250 million years ago but still has not been solved. The author Douglas Erwin, a paleobiologist who has been working on the extinction for the past few decades, identifies identifies possible culprits and the known evidence, but ultimately comes to no conclusion. This makes the book both exciting and fresh (even three years after its initial publication).Erwin names six possible culprits to the extinction:1) a meteor/comet impact, similar to the one that killed the dinosaurs;2) climatic changes from massive volcanic flood basalts in Siberia;3) invasion of invasive species following the creation of the supercontinent Pangea;4) glaciations causing global cooling and a fall in sea level;5) disappearance of oxygen from the oceans (anoxia); and6) a combination of the above.Because the extinction happened so quickly (estimated less than 160,000 years), he suggests that explanation 3, 4, and 6 are less likely. He also isn't convinced by the evidence of a large meteor impact (1) around this time. Furthermore, explanation 5 does not account for the extinctions on land. Thus, the book tentatively concludes that the volcanic flood basalts seem to have played the largest role in the extinction, perhaps by causing runaway global warming.This is a science book, not a book about the scientists. Too many popular books about paleontology, especially those written by journalists, seem to focus on the scientists themselves rather than the actual science. Fortunately, Erwin goes deep into the scientific evidence and presents detailed arguments for each explanation.Perhaps more important than the hard scientific evidence (which may well become outdated by the time you read the book, if it hasn't already), Erwin does a magnificent job showing the process and reasoning that goes into collecting and interpreting the evidence. Rather than state his interpretation of the evidence, Erwin takes the reader through the existing evidence and the questions or concerns he has with it. Most of the book consists of his summary of paleobiologists' toolkit and the research on the Permian extinction. He only brings the evidence together to discuss the potential culprits in the last few chapters. However, by writing the book this way, the reader is able to assess the evidence for himself.Erwin's style also encourages readers to keep a healthy sense of doubt, especially since more than once he admits his past positions on the extinction were probably wrong. In fact, he does suggest that more evidence regarding a meteor impact has recently emerged and may contradict his "preferred" theory.Overall this is a very interesting book, but is a long read, especially for those readers who - like me - have no formal training in paleontology or geology. However, the books provides a great science education for those willing to put in the time.

The author does a fine job explaining the possible causation of the Permo-Triassic extinction. He keeps the necessary technical babble to a minimum, making this book (mostly) accessible to any lay person. Some of the charts were confusing to me, but I got the gist of things. The chapters are well organized, and his method of making the book a "geological mystery" is very well executed.I also appreciate the author's introspective style; he doesn't have all the answers, nor does he pretend to. Credit is given to fellow geologists for their field and lab work, and overall the reader gets a good sense of life (and death) on this planet 250 million years ago.If I were a paleontologist, no doubt this would be a 5 star read. As is, it's an excellent overview of a very intriguing period of time in our planet's history that anyone can enjoy, regardless of their level of knowledge for the subject at hand.I am keeping this book nearby as I plan to re-read it in the near future; I found it that engaging.

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Minggu, 06 Oktober 2013

Ebook Download The Prince of Darkness: Radical Evil and the Power of Good in History, by Jeffrey Burton Russell

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The Prince of Darkness: Radical Evil and the Power of Good in History, by Jeffrey Burton Russell

The Prince of Darkness: Radical Evil and the Power of Good in History, by Jeffrey Burton Russell


The Prince of Darkness: Radical Evil and the Power of Good in History, by Jeffrey Burton Russell


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The Prince of Darkness: Radical Evil and the Power of Good in History, by Jeffrey Burton Russell

Review

"Fascinating. . . . A history of the Devil taken seriously, in theology, folklore, art, literature."―Village Voice"There is probably no one alive who knows more about the lore of the Devil than Jeffrey Burton Russell. . . . He supplies colourful accounts of the pictures medieval folklore formed of the Evil One, and discerning sketches of the insights of poets like Dante and Milton, and novelists from Dostoevsky to Flannery O'Conner. . . . A first-rate survey. . . . Close-packed as it inevitably is, it reads easily, and each of its chapters is full of accurate and skillfully arranged information."―Times Literary Supplement"Russell recreates the arcane images of good and evil we all once understood perfectly well as children. From the moment the cover is lifted on this beautifully produced book, the world darkens. Russell presents story after story, using them like a descending staircase, drawing us down into archetypal memories of unending battles with the Evil One."―Bloomsbury Review

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About the Author

Jeffrey Burton Russell is Professor of History Emeritus at the University of California, Santa Barbara.

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Product details

Paperback: 304 pages

Publisher: Cornell University Press; 1 edition (April 16, 1992)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0801480566

ISBN-13: 978-0801480560

Product Dimensions:

6.1 x 0.8 x 9.1 inches

Shipping Weight: 9.6 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.1 out of 5 stars

14 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#793,333 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I saw the author interviewed on the documentary "The Devil and Father Amorth" and am very glad I purchased this book. It did not disappoint. Informative and very thorough, it gave a great historical and theological overview of how the Devil has been thought of in history. I cannot help but think that the gaming of Satan during the 19th and 20th century proved to.be a horrendous error. The medieval.mind was probably more accurate .

A good read on the historical Satan. I think the cover and title is a bit misleading though. The author does a detailed work in capturing satan throughout history, so it is quite varied. A bit of a dry read for sure but if you dig through it you can find some gems.

I teach a course on the Faust tradition in western Europe which contains a lot of information about the representation of the Devil in literature and culture from the Middle Ages through the 20th c. Russell's works on the Devil have been invaluable to me, particularly his "Mephistopheles. The History of the Devil in the Modern World," of which "The Prince of Darkness" is in part a summary. I'd easily give 5 stars to "Mephistophles..." and it's too bad there is not a Kindle edition of it (I have the paperback edition and bought "Prince of Darkness" only because it seemed the closest Burton work to the one I wanted on Kindle). Not only is Burton a brilliant scholar with exhaustive knowledge of his subject, he is a very fine writer and parts of his book read almost like a novel. Bravo!

Hubby says that he f*$#@^g loves it, and that the writer is very pensive.

Great and interisting book for theology.

Russell is well informed, articulate and dare I say, aesthetic author. "The Prince of Darkness" which might be considered the hallmark of all Russell's work compiled, is immaculately researched and expertly woven. Unlike most non-fiction authors, Russell won't patronize you with watered-down asides or well-meaning bullet-points intended to assist you along the way. Instead, he engages you directly and persuasively with his fact-finding narrative and thought-provoking inquiry. Style aside, the content of "Prince" will have you spellbound from start to finish. It touches on the historical fictions surrounding Satan but doesn't settle for myths alone. Readers will be happy to know that Russell delves deeper into the philosophy and psychology surrounding the archetypes of the 'Dark Prince' the people who believe in them and on into the realms of ontological questions like good and evil. My only beef with the book -Russell himself- is that there is no conclusion to his research. It's well-written, fascinating but ultimately leaves you feeling teased rather than sated. Perhaps, like a true professor, he wants to deliver the facts and leave you to your own conclusions, but this proves frustrating. With so much knowledge and insight on a subject long stigmatized one would hope that Russell might have something to say about evil, human psychology or the archetype itself. In the end this is an informative read and a fun flip, but little else.

interisting!

This is a wonderfully literate and engaging survey of the history and literature surrounding Satan. The author, Jeffrey Burton Russell,Russell begins with a survey of the idea of evil and the earliest understanding of evil as a force or power that opposed its contradictory power of good. This binary division of good from evil provided a neat explanation of why there was evil in the world. Unfortunately, this explanation did not fit into the monotheistic position that there was one all-powerful God who was also all-good. Fitting evil, and its prototype, the Devil, into such a worldview is something that has engaged the western world for the last three millennia.Russell follows the trail of the Devil and evil from Mazdaism through Judaism and into Christianity. Russell's narrative is constantly interesting and informative. Russell provided the single best discussion of Origen's theology concerning universal redemption and the redemption of the demons that I have heard. Unlike some reviewer's I found that Russell was extremely even-handed when dealing with non-Christian belief systems.I particularly liked his development of the Devil in modernity. His discussion of Milton, Goethe and Flannery O'Connor were sufficiently captivating that I intend to listen to Milton's Paradise Lost on the grounds that it is a foundational piece of the Western literary tradition that I have overlooked.This is a good survey that provides some depth. As a survey, it covers a lot of territory in a quick and fascinating way.

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The Prince of Darkness: Radical Evil and the Power of Good in History, by Jeffrey Burton Russell PDF

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The Prince of Darkness: Radical Evil and the Power of Good in History, by Jeffrey Burton Russell PDF
The Prince of Darkness: Radical Evil and the Power of Good in History, by Jeffrey Burton Russell PDF